Predicl. Theoretical clinical predictions calculator (version 0.9 alpha)
by A.D. Corlan, 2014--2016

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General: yrs, kg, cm,
ethanol(mL/day)
history age at CHF diagnostic age at first significant murmur
physical
systolic BP (mmHg) diast BP (mmHg)
bloodcreatinine (mg/dl) glucose (mg/dl)
total cholesterol (mg/dl) LDL (mg/dl) HDL (mg/dl) VLDL (mg/dl)
ecgPR (ms)
echo Left kidney length (cm) Right kidney length (cm)
treatment
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DISCLAIMER
The results below are only a guide to some of the literature relevant for the above data profile. We provide no warranty and accept no responsibility
regarding the accuracy of the computations, or their clinical applicability. Clinical judgement, based on current guidelines, methodological details,
results and discussion from the literature, as well as independent verification of all calculations, must be applied in any actual case.

Profile id: wcr957 (previous id: ggfxge)
M 46, 90kg, 1.90m, BMI=24kg/m2, BSA=2.18m2, leanwt=70.28kg, never smoker
Framingham study models.
Low CHD risk over 10 years for gender/age=4%; average=11%; average Hard CHD risk=8%. (Wilson_1998)
Other computational models.
Relative risk of colorectal cancer given ethanol consumption, compared to drinkers of less than 15ml/day: 1.50 (Fedirko_2011)

Risk of%overbased onreference
all.cancer.death0.5781y M AGE=46:45-80 BMI=24.93:18.50-25Calle_2003
esoph.cancer.death0.0141y M AGE=46:45-80 BMI=24.93:18.50-25Calle_2003
gastric.cancer.death0.0161y M AGE=46:45-80 BMI=24.93:18.50-25Calle_2003
colon.cancer.death0.0541y M AGE=46:45-80 BMI=24.93:18.50-25Calle_2003
liver.cancer.death0.0091y M AGE=46:45-80 BMI=24.93:18.50-25Calle_2003
gblad.cancer.death0.0031y M AGE=46:45-80 BMI=24.93:18.50-25Calle_2003
pancr.cancer.death0.0311y M AGE=46:45-80 BMI=24.93:18.50-25Calle_2003
lung.cancer.death0.2071y M AGE=46:45-80 BMI=24.93:18.50-25Calle_2003
melanoma.death0.0101y M AGE=46:45-80 BMI=24.93:18.50-25Calle_2003
prostate.cancer.death0.0661y M AGE=46:45-80 BMI=24.93:18.50-25Calle_2003
bladder.cancer.death0.0151y M AGE=46:45-80 BMI=24.93:18.50-25Calle_2003
kidney.cancer.death0.0131y M AGE=46:45-80 BMI=24.93:18.50-25Calle_2003
brain.cancer.death0.0161y M AGE=46:45-80 BMI=24.93:18.50-25Calle_2003
nonhodgkin.cancer.death0.0221y M AGE=46:45-80 BMI=24.93:18.50-25Calle_2003
mieloma.cancer.death0.0111y M AGE=46:45-80 BMI=24.93:18.50-25Calle_2003
leukemia.cancer.death0.0231y M AGE=46:45-80 BMI=24.93:18.50-25Calle_2003
all.cancer.death0.3031y M AGE=46:45-80 smoking status BMI=24.93:18.50-25Calle_2003
esoph.cancer.death0.0041y M AGE=46:45-80 smoking status BMI=24.93:18.50-25Calle_2003
pancreas.cancer.death0.0231y M AGE=46:45-80 smoking status BMI=24.93:18.50-25Calle_2003
lung.cancer.death0.0231y M AGE=46:45-80 smoking status BMI=24.93:18.50-25Calle_2003

Expectancy ofyearsbased onreference
life.age.adjusted20.900 M Ethanol=50:15-61 AGE=46:45-65Farchi_2000
life.age.adjusted22.300 M Ethanol=50:15-61 smoking status AGE=46:45-65Farchi_2000

Relative risk ofisbecause ofversusreference
colorectal.cancer.incidence1.210 M+F Ethanol=50:16-64 Ethanol=50/0-16Fedirko_2011
colorectal.cancer.incidence1.240 M Ethanol=50:16-64 Ethanol=50/0-16Fedirko_2011
all.cancer.incidence1.010 M Ethanol=50:16-64 Ethanol=50/0-3Jin_2013
cardiovasc.mortality0.850 M+F Ethanol=50:38-76 Ethanol=50/0-0Ronksley_2013
chd.incidence0.670 M+F Ethanol=50:38-76 Ethanol=50/0-0Ronksley_2013
chd.mortality0.770 M+F Ethanol=50:38-76 Ethanol=50/0-0Ronksley_2013
stroke.incidence1.150 M+F Ethanol=50:38-76 Ethanol=50/0-0Ronksley_2013
stroke.mortality1.100 M+F Ethanol=50:38-76 Ethanol=50/0-0Ronksley_2013

Generated from stored profile: ggfxge

This computation took: 3.318ms ( 1.609 + 0.016 + 1.693 )